At MOST they will give him a year.. probably/maybe. As far as the lying, who wouldn't lie with what he had on the line?! I don't think there is single top professional athlete that would just give it up and tell the truth. Look at Marion Jones. He had alot on the line, alot of people who wanted him to fall so they can feel better about themselves. Bonds, and Jones were already top athletes and would be the best at what they do naturally but they wanted to be THAT much better! Trust me when I say that steriods is not going to turn Mr Couch potato or even an average player into a home run machine, or everyone would be hitting 70homers a season. He and the others like him got greedy. The example I always give is the people who work out and say, oh if I took all that they(bodybuilders) take I'd be that big also. But in every gym I've been in, in recent years you have people doing tons of drugs, shit that only a fool would do and still are not bigger than the average joe. Genetics, genetics, genetics!!
But the bottom line is he lied and GOT CAUGHT! Joe blow who nobody cares about because he's only hitting 5 homers is loaded to the hilt and nobody will say a word.